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Morning Edition

Markets: Sterling was trading at 30-year lows around $1.3280 at 7.02am. The currency is under fresh pressure after Mark Carney yesterday signalled the need for more stimulus to cushion the fallout to growth and jobs from Brexit. The FTSE 100 which jumped to a ten-month high on expectations of an interest rate cut and more bond buying closed at 6,504.33 last night. IG is calling the index to open up by around 60 points. The Nikkei closed up 0.7 per cent this morning at 15,682.48. Brent crude is trading at $50.05. For more coverage see our market snap below.

Just how much trouble are we in, post Brexit? Pick up the paper tomorrow, we will do our best to tell you. We’ll have a look at financial crises down the ages and put the present one in some sort of context.

Yesterday Mark Carney hardly added to any sense of calm, saying that interest rates needed to come down and that more money-printing stimulus is needed.

The pound started falling the minute he started talking. Thanks Guv.

One industry for which the Brexit vote has been good - the media. So we have been told.

An update from Trinity Mirror this morning isn’t that positive, however. The publisher of the Daily Mirror tells the City: “Publishing revenue fell by 8 per cent, with print declining by 10 per cent (12 per cent decline in the first quarter and a 9 per cent decline in the second quarter) and digital growing by 14 per cent (15 per cent growth in the first quarter and 14 per cent growth in the second quarter). Publishing print advertising and circulation revenue fell by 17 per cent and 5 per cent respectively over the period. In the second quarter print advertising and circulation revenue fell by 14 per cent and 5 per cent respectively. We continue to deliver strong growth in digital audience.”

That doesn’t sound too optimistic, but at least it is not worse than investors were expecting.

Finally, why not tune into our latest Times Business podcast: Great Britain or Little Britain? Harry Wilson, City Editor, Katherine Griffiths, Banking Editor, and David Charter, Berlin Correspondent, discuss how the referendum result has gone down in the UK, Germany and Europe.

Have a tolerable day.

Simon English
Deputy Business Editor
The Times
simon.english@thetimes.co.uk

Ten things you need to know

1 Interest rates are on course to be cut within the next two months as the Bank of England moves to shore up plummeting business and consumer confidence and spending after the EU referendum result.

2 Google’s offices in Madrid have been raided by the Spanish authorities as part of an investigation into possible tax evasion. Tax inspectors closed two offices of the internet giant while they carried out the raids.

3 Irene Rosenfeld, the American executive who gobbled up the British chocolate maker Cadbury in 2010, is seeking to buy the US confectioner Hershey. A merger would bring together brands including Cadbury, Milka, Côte d’Or and Toblerone, owned by her company Mondelez, with Hershey’s Reese’s Pieces and Hershey’s Kisses.

4 Britain’s vulnerability to a sterling crisis has been laid bare as revised official GDP figures revealed that the current account deficit remains at a near-record high. The deficit came in at £32.6 billion, or 6.9 per cent of total output.

5 Telefónica, the heavily indebted Spanish telecoms company, has hung up on the prospect of a potential sale or flotation of the O2 UK network until market conditions settle down after the Brexit vote.

6 News Corporation, publisher of The Times and The Sun, has made an unexpected move into the radio sector after agreeing to pay £220 million in cash for the owner of the TalkSport and Virgin Radio stations. Wireless Group, which also operates local stations in Ireland, said that the deal provided a shot in the arm for British commercial radio.

7 Gatwick has attempted to position itself as the safe bet for a new runway in the southeast as the airport reported record passenger numbers and a sharp increase in profits. Figures indicate that 40.8 million travellers flew into or out of Gatwick last year, up 2.1 million in 12 months, to make it the world’s busiest single-runway airport.

8 European Union competition regulators are investigating whether Anheuser-Busch InBev is abusing its dominant position in Belgium by illegally seeking to block cheaper imports of its beers from neighbouring countries.

9 The administrators of BHS have agreed to sell its international and online operations to a Qatari buyer in the first disposal of the failed retailer’s assets. Al Mana, a group based in Doha that operates some of BHS’s overseas stores under a franchise deal, has bought more than 70 shops and the website.

10 The impact of the weak pound on overseas holiday prices may have hurt the tour operators, but for one Chinese investor it has provided an opportunity to top up its shareholding in Thomas Cook.

Editor's picks

Politicians may think it perfectly reasonable to take ten weeks to decide a new prime minister. The governor of the Bank of England is plainly not so sure, warning yesterday of the “stultifying effects” of uncertainty on businesses and households, writes Patrick Hosking.

The new PM should dump Heathrow and get on with Gatwick, says Alistair Osborne, who is confused by protests from business lobby groups urging the government to push on with infrastructure projects. “What government is that exactly? The one that doesn’t exist,” he asks.

“All kinds of people have learnt all kinds of painful lessons this week. The England team … have taught us yet again how not to play football. But more than anything else, we have learnt, with the implosion of the Labour Party, how not to write a resignation letter, says Sathnam Sanghera.

Market snap

The FTSE 100 extended its rally as Mark Carney announced that the Bank of England was likely to ease monetary policy over the summer, rising 144.27 points, or 2.27 per cent, to 6,504.33, its highest since August. The more UK-exposed FTSE 250 rebounded 268.17 points, or 1.68 per cent, to 16,271.07. More here on yesterday’s market action.

On Wall Street, US markets rose for a third straight day after the Bank of England raised the prospect of monetary stimulus and Mondelez launched a $23 billion bid for Hershey. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed by 235.31 points, or 1.3 per cent, to close at 17,929.99 while the S&P 500 finished 1.4 per cent, or 28.08 points, higher at 2,098.85. Around 8.7 billion shares changed hands compared with the recent daily average of 7.6 billion.

Sterling slid to its weakest in more than two years against the euro - down 0.5 per cent to €1.201 - after the Bank of England governor said more monetary stimulus might be needed in Britain over the summer after the vote to leave the EU. Against the US dollar, the pound was 0.7 per cent to $1.347. Against the US dollar, the pound in London was 1.5 per cent lower at $1.324.

Oil prices fell back below the $50 level yesterday as traders booked profits at the end of the best quarter in seven years after prices rose more 25 per cent in the last three months. In New York, Brent crude for August settlement was 1.8 per cent lower at $49.72 a barrel.

The investment 3i made in 2011 in Action, a little-known (at least in the UK) Dutch budget retailer, has turned out to be a massively successful one, says Tempus. So much so, in fact, that the private equity group has announced a surprise revaluation of its investment. Headhunters, such as Harvey Nash, are always among the first to suffer in any economic uncertainty, so it is encouraging that there has been no post-referendum downturn in the business - so far anyway. John Wood seems as well placed as any to weather a $50 oil price. Read on here for the Tempus share tips in full.

The day's front pages
The Times

The governor of the Bank of England sent bond yields to fresh record lows and the pound sliding after he signalled more quantitative easing and indicated interest rates would be cut to cushion the economy from the impact of Brexit.

The prospect of lower interest rates, already at historical lows, and a return of the Bank of England's bond-buying programme to stimulate the economy sparked a sell-off of sterling but lifted shares. In London yesterday the pound dropped 1.5 per cent against the dollar to $1.324, a cent above the 31-year low that it hit in the immediate aftermath of the referendum.

Meanwhile, yields on some gilts turned negative for the first time, with investors effectively paying to stow their money in two-year British bonds in anticipation of lower interest rates.

The FTSE 100 rose 144.27 points, or 2.2 per cent, to 6,504.33, taking it beyond its pre-Brexit level and to its best reading since last year. The FTSE 250, which is considered a better reflection of British economic prospects because of its more domestic composition, also rose, 1.7 per cent, although it remains 6 per cent below its close on the eve of the referendum results.

On Wall Street last night the Dow Jones industrial average climbed 235.31 points to close at 17,929.99, boosted in part by the prospect of further stimulus from the UK's central bank.

Read full update
 
The Wall Street Journal

Late Wednesday, Boris Johnson and Michael Gove, who led the campaign for Britain to leave the European Union, had their arms around each other at a Conservative Party fundraiser at the Hurlingham Club, a members-only hangout in West London.

Mr. Johnson, London’s former mayor, went to bed expecting to announce the next morning his intention to enter the race to become the next prime minister, with Mr. Gove, the current justice secretary, as his co-chair.

But the next morning—in a tumultuous turnabout—it was Mr. Gove who entered the race for a job he had long insisted he didn’t want and wasn’t equipped for, saying he lacked confidence in Mr. Johnson. Shortly after that, Mr. Johnson delivered a speech to reporters in which he highlighted his achievements as mayor and spoke about unifying the country, betraying nothing before delivering what he called the punchline.

Read full update
 
The Daily Telegraph

The Bank of England could unleash fresh monetary stimulus this summer in an effort to support the economy after Brexit, Mark Carney has said, in remarks taken as a sign that policymakers are preparing to slash interest rates and release additional waves of quantitative easing (QE).

In his first full speech since his reassuring remarks when the referendum result was declared, the Governor warned that the vote to leave the European Union had increased uncertainty about the outlook for the UK economy, given the "major regime shift" that leaving the bloc entailed.

Ahead of the vote, Mr Carney had said that the monetary policy committee (MPC), which decides on monetary policy, had judged that there would "probably" need to be an increase in rates over the next three years.

However, Mr Carney now says "some monetary policy easing will likely be required over the summer". The pound fell by as much as 1.6pc on the Governor's remarks, to $1.3219. Experts predicted last night that the MPC was likely to make its move in August.

Read full update
 
Financial Times

The Bank of England is preparing to unleash another round of monetary stimulus as it battles to contain the economic fallout of the UK's decision to leave the EU.

In a stark warning to politicians, governor Mark Carney said a downturn was on its way and Britain was already suffering from "economic post-traumatic stress disorder".

He said the central bank would take "whatever action is needed to support growth", which probably included "some monetary policy easing" in the next few months, in an attempt to reassure the markets and the general public. But Mr Carney also said that central bankers could do only a limited amount to mitigate the pain.

Sterling fell more than 1 per cent to $1.32 as traders began preparing either for rates to be cut to historic lows, more quantitative easing, or a combination of both. The pound hit $1.50 just before the first results were known of the referendum on EU membership last week. Equities rose, with the FTSE 100 index closing up 2.3 per cent on the day.

Read full update