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Morning Edition

Markets: The Nikkei closed up 0.36 per cent this morning at 16,545.82. IG is calling the FTSE 100, which closed at 6,868.96, to open 6 points higher. At 6.54am Brent Crude was trading at $51.06 a barrel. The pound was trading at $1.314 against the dollar and at €1.159 against the euro. For our full markets coverage see markets snap below.

Good morning: The majority of Britons think Brexit will make no difference to their personal financial situation over the next year, according to a YouGov poll for The Times.

According to the poll, published overnight, 14 per cent think their family finances will improve, 31 per cent think they will get worse and 44 per cent believe they will stay the same. The YouGov poll did suggest job insecurity had risen as a result of Brexit, however. Some 23 per cent of those in work said their job was less secure after the referendum. Sam Coates, our Deputy Political Editor, has a full report here.

Elsewhere on the economics front we get public finance data for July from the Office for National Statistics at 9.30am. Boosted by the first of four corporation tax payments from large companies, economists expect to see a £1.2 billion surplus.

It is a quiet start for corporate news. Property company Hammerson has confirmed this morning that plans to list on the Johannesburg stock exchange are now “at an advanced stage”.

In the US we get fourth-quarter earnings from cosmetics maker Estee Lauder later.

Please do keep sending me any thoughts or observations about The Times business coverage - richard.fletcher@thetimes.co.uk. Finally, don't forget to follow me on Twitter for regular updates throughout the day - @fletcherr.

Have a great weekend. I’ll be back in your inbox on Monday morning.

Richard Fletcher
Business Editor
The Times

Ten things you need to know

1 Britain’s shoppers shrugged off concerns about the Brexit vote and hit the high street last month, causing retail sales to enjoy a rebound only a month after the referendum result. This came as a YouGov poll for The Times found that Britons believe Brexit will make no difference to their personal financial situation over the next year.

2 Sales at Asda slumped to a record low during the second quarter as fierce competition and sharp falls in food prices continued to wreak havoc in the British grocery sector. In a grim debut for Sean Clarke, Asda’s new chief executive, the Walmart-owned supermarket chain said that its like-for-like sales fell 7.5 per cent in the three months to the end of June.

3 For those who believe you cannot put a price on a person’s knowledge, skills or characteristics, think again. The Office for National Statistics has calculated “human capital”, which puts a monetary value on a person’s qualifications, age, health, personality and skills, measuring the total potential future earnings of everyone in the labour market.

4 Rank Group and 888 Holdings bowed to the inevitable yesterday and ditched their £3.4 billion bid for William Hill after failing to persuade the bookmaker’s board to enter talks.

5 Kingfisher reported strong sales at B&Q and Screwfix but trading was dampened at the stores that it owns in France. The home improvement retailer said that it had yet to notice any impact on consumer sentiment arising from the vote in June to leave the European Union.

6 Britain’s largest brickmaker is to cap the liabilities of its pension fund and block present members from making fresh contributions. Ibstock launched a two-month consultation after announcing proposals to scale back the cost of its final-salary pension scheme.

7 The City of London has abandoned hope of maintaining universal access to the European single market and will now look for a specially tailored deal for its sector to keep trading with the Continent as open as possible.

8 Premier Oil, the indebted North Sea producer that remains locked in talks with banks about a $2.6 billion debt restructuring, expressed optimism yesterday that a deal could be struck next month.

9 The boss of the Co-operative Bank has said that the struggling lender could be “an attractive dance partner” for a potential buyer despite the business reporting a fresh £177 million loss for the first half of the year.

10 Japan’s imports and exports have suffered their sharpest declines since 2009, delivering a further blow to the country’s struggling economy.

Read full update
Editor's picks

“Britain is two months into the post-referendum era. By this time, most of the economists who were against Brexit expected the sky to have fallen in and for there to have been a sharp fall in hiring and consumer confidence. So far, there is no sign of it.” New data on the economy gives grounds for cautious optimism - today’s The Times leader.

“Objectivity, or lack of bias, does not involve pretending that the evidence on any one issue is more uncertain than it really is.” The BBC is leaving its audiences in the dark, argues Paul Johnson. We should be told if evidence is overwhelmingly on the side of the experts, not the dissenters.

“... Sitting and standing around for days on end until your body and mind become numb; hours of listening to bearded men talking about the prices of property and motorcars; and being asked “So why aren’t you married yet?” and “So are you gay?” every 35 seconds by people you don’t even know.” For bonding, firms should follow the lead of an Indian wedding, says Sathnam Sanghera.

Market snap

In London, the FTSE 100 broke a losing two-day streak and edged up - 0.1 per cent, or 9.8 points, to 6,868.96 - after commodity-related shares rose on the back of a weaker US dollar and a rising crude oil price. The broader FTSE 250 also benefitted from the miners’ bounce - up 112.36 points, or 0.6 per cent, to 17,871.04 - with Kaz Minerals leading the way with a 10 per cent rise. More on yesterday’s market action here.

On Wall Street, US markets inched higher as Brent crude rose above $50 a barrel for the first time in six weeks, boosting energy shares. The Dow Jones Industrial Average inched up by 0.1 per cent, or 23.76 points, to close at 18,597.70 while the S&P 500 was 0.2 per cent, or 4.80 points, ahead at 2,187.02. Around 5.9 billion shares changed hands compared with the recent daily average of 6.4 billion.

Sterling jumped to a two-week high against the US dollar - up 0.8 per cent to $1.314 - after retail sales for July beat forecasts, seemingly unaffected by Britain’s vote to leave the European Union. Against the euro, the pound was 0.3 per cent ahead at €1.158.

Oil prices climbed for a sixth straight day as the world’s biggest producers prepared to discuss a possible freeze in production levels to address the problem of the international supply glut. In New York, Brent crude for October settlement was 2.1 per cent higher at $50,90 a barrel.

Kingfisher has already announced ambitious plans to raise profits by £500 million by 2021, and there is little in the latest trading statement from the B&Q owner to suggest this is not achievable. The main weakness is the French side of the group, warns Tempus. Life goes on at Capital & Regional, the owner of local shopping centres, with new lettings continuing and even accelerating since the referendum vote. The Renewables Infrastructure Group is one of those funds that offers a reliable and appreciable income, even after the recent sharp rise in the shares. Read here for more about the Tempus share tips of the day.

The day's front pages
The Times

Sales at Asda slumped to a record low during the second quarter as fierce competition and sharp falls in food prices continued to wreak havoc in the British grocery sector.

In a grim debut for Sean Clarke, Asda's new chief executive, the Walmart-owned supermarket chain said that its like-for-likes sales fell by 7.5 per cent in the three months to the end of June. Asda continued to haemorrhage market share to its discounting rivals, such as Lidl and Aldi, as well as to its bigger peers Tesco and J Sainsbury. The slump came on top of a 5.7 per cent fall in comparable sales during the first quarter and highlighted the extent of the challenge now facing Asda, once considered to be on track to become the UK's largest grocer.

News of falling sales, which were not only worse than the market had expected but also reflected the eighth consecutive quarterly drop, marked a difficult start for Mr Clarke.

The British-born chief executive was appointed in July to replace Andy Clarke, who prematurely claimed last August that Asda had reached a "nadir" when like-for-like sales fell 4.7 per cent.

Read full update
 
The Wall Street Journal

Russia is bolstering its military presence on its western border, sending tens of thousands of soldiers to newly built installations within easy striking distance of Ukraine.

The moves, which come as Moscow ratchets up confrontation over the Black Sea peninsula of Crimea, are a centerpiece ofanew military strategy the Kremlin says is meant to counter perceived threats from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization.

Military analysts say the deployments appear to be an effort to build a more permanent and robust military posture around Ukraine, where Russia has carried out covert military interventions aimed at maintaining influence in its Westleaning neighbor.

“Russia’s plans around the Ukrainian border showareal intent to use force if needed,” said Anton Lavrov, a defense analyst at Moscow-based think tank CAST. “They would be Russia’s first line of assistance if the pro-Russian rebels in east Ukraine needed help.” The Russian Defense Ministry didn’t respond to emailed questions.

Read full update
 
The Daily Telegraph

Newly-installed Asda boss Sean Clarke has been left in no doubt about the challenge ahead of him after the supermarket chain reported a 7.5pc drop in like-for-like sales in the second quarter, its worst fall on record.

Mr Clarke, who took over from Andy Clarke last month, admitted with some understatement that Asda was in the middle of a "challenging" period, as US parent company Walmart said that a return to "retail basics" was on the cards. The fall in like-for-like sales, which exclude new stores opened during the period, was even worse than the 5.7pc drop the chain reported in the previous quarter, and far outstripped the 4.7pc drop that Andy Clarke described as the supermarket's "nadir" last summer. It marks the eighth consecutive quarter of falling sales.

Asda's total sales slumped by 5pc during the three months to the end of June, while footfall tumbled 6pc, as shoppers shunned its large out-of-town stores.

In common with its "big four" rivals - Tesco, Sainsbury's and Morrisons - Asda has been hit by price deflation in the grocery sector, as well as stiff competition from the fast-growing discount chains Aldi and Lidl. But while Tesco and Morrisons have made strides in turning around their fortunes, Asda continues to lag the group.

Read full update
 
Financial Times

The City of London has given up hope of universal access to the EU single market and is now seeking a bespoke deal for its different sectors to keep trading with Europe, with similar but stronger ties than Switzerland.

Teams across the City and Whitehall have been working over the summer to draw up a plan for Britain's EU exit.

Officials and representatives from the financial sector will present their policy ideas to the cabinet committee for Brexit, chaired by Theresa May, the prime minister, when it meets next month, people involved in the preparations told the Financial Times.

The City has decided that a deal emulating Norway's relationship with the EU is politically and practically very difficult. Norway has access to the single market but no say in how rules are set, must accept free movement of people and make budget contributions.

Read full update